Two ways to play

Play for points or
fun challenges

Use virtual points for serious predictions, or fun challenges with friendly rewards and dares. Your group, your rules.

Points Market
Will the product ship on time?
Total pool: 100 pts
YES 20 pts
NO 80 pts
A
Alice wins
+80 pts
🎉
Fun Challenges
Will Dave finish the marathon?
No points needed
YES
3 people
NO
2 people
🏆 If right: Bottle of champagne
💪 If wrong: Buy the drinks

How it works

Choose your style: track predictions with virtual points, or make it personal with fun challenges.

Points Markets

1
Everyone commits points
Put your virtual points on YES or NO. All contributions form a shared pool.
2
Wait for the outcome
When the event happens, the market creator resolves it.
3
Winners split the pot
Your share is proportional to your contribution to the winning pool.
The math
payout = (your stake / winning pool) x total pool
🎉

Fun Challenges

1
Pick your side
No points needed. Just choose YES or NO on the prediction.
2
Wait for the outcome
When the event happens, the market creator resolves it.
3
Complete the challenge
Wrong predictors do the dare: buy the drinks, do pushups, sing karaoke.
Popular challenges
🍺 Buy a round 🍴 Buy lunch 💪 20 pushups 🎤 Karaoke solo 🏆 Bottle of wine

Predictions
your way

🎉

Fun Challenges

Skip the points. Set friendly rewards and dares like "loser buys a round" or "winner gets a bottle of wine." Predictions with fun consequences.

Multi-Outcome Markets

Not everything is yes or no. Create markets with multiple outcomes like "Who will win MVP?" or "Which restaurant for dinner?"

Repeating Markets

Weekly standup predictions? Monthly sales targets? Set it once, runs automatically.

🏆
Multi-outcome market
5 options
Who wins MVP this season?
Jokic 42%
Giannis 28%
Tatum 18%
+ 2 more options
48 picks Resolves: Apr 2025

Everything you need to
run predictions

Built for friends, teams, and communities.

Leaderboards & Stats

Track who's the best predictor. Weekly, monthly, and all-time rankings.

Who Owes Who

Automatic balance tracking. See exactly who owes what and settle up however you prefer.

Discord Alerts

Get notified in your server when markets are created, resolved, or hit key thresholds.

Unlimited Members

No per-seat pricing. Invite your whole team, friend group, or community.

Custom Subdomain

Your group gets its own URL: yourteam.poly.fan. Easy to remember and share.

Private by Default

Your predictions stay between your group. No public feeds, no strangers.

Ready to start predicting?

Create your first market in under a minute. Free forever for virtual trading.